I've been deep in the sheets looking for wide receivers who will rise over the next seven weeks to help us win fantasy championships.
It has not been as simple as tracking the wide receivers who have met the 12 target threshold, which I outlined in Parts 1, 2, and 3.
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Predicting this season’s Top 25 PPR WRs
23 wide receivers met the 12-target mark in the first six weeks of the season:
Cooper Kupp joined the party in Week 5. Drake London, despite Arthur Smith's best efforts, met the mark in Week 6.
21 wideouts have seen 12+ targets in a game through the first four weeks.
21 wide receivers have seen at least 12 targets in a game through the first four weeks of the season.
15 currently rank in the Top 25 of PPR scoring with 9 in the Top 12.
But before I get to these absolute beasts, I want to talk about the rising tandem who have yet to meet the dozen-target mark.
Nico Collins and Tank Dell might end up being this year's outliers.
Through four weeks, both rank inside the Top 25 PPR WRs thanks to outstanding play from rookie QB C.J. Stroud (mea culpa coming soon).
Nico is the
How a dozen targets became the threshold for elite WR seasons
The magic number appears to be 12 targets.
Since 2018, the overwhelming majority of Top 25 PPR WR scorers have seen 12 or more targets in at least one game:
1999 was the last time NFL fans knew peace. Week 1 saw the Jeff Fisher- and Air McNair-led Titans nearly choke away their home opener against the Jeff Blake Bengals. After a rocky start, the Buffalo Bills went on to win seven of their next nine while Flutie Flakes flew off the shelves. On Thanksgiving, the Dallas Cowboys hosted the Miami Dolphins when Deion Sanders hauled in two of Dan Marino’s five interceptions. A few weeks later, Deuce Bigalow: Male Gigolo premiered in theaters.
Y2K fears dominated the country during the final month of the 20th century. My parents
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