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Posts tagged with Longreads

Brad Beatson
Brad Beatson The Wild West

Fantasy Scoring Averages

3-year weekly and season-long averages for QBs, RBs, WRs, TEs

Fantasy Scoring Averages
Josh Allen, Derrick Henry, CeeDee Lamb, Sam LaPorta

Stripping away names and focusing on weekly finishes can help provide a check against our various biases, rooting interests, petty grievances, gut hunches.

Below you'll find four weekly and season-long charts that illustrate FantasyPros data across the big four positions: QB, RB, WR, TE.

FantasyPros uses Half-PPR scoring but the data can be used for PPR and standard leagues as well. Research has shown that there isn't much of a difference in how players stack up across the three scoring formats.

You'll also find some written analysis in the weekly (QB, WR) and season-long sections (QB, RB, WR).

Weekly Averages

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Brad Beatson
Brad Beatson The Wild West

Schemers Have No Aura

Offensive coordinators tempt fate when they try to reinvent the wheel

Schemers Have No Aura
Ben Johnson (L) and Josh McDaniels (R)

There are three dominant schemes in the NFL: "West Coast, Air Coryell, and Erhardt-Perkins," as Chris B. Brown writes in his book, The Art of Smart Football.

"Given that every NFL team runs the same plays, each of these NFL offensive families is differentiated mostly by how these plays are communicated."

Starting with the passing game.

The Memory System

"The system is as old as football itself, which is no surprise given that Bill Walsh's onetime mentor Paul Brown is credited as much as anyone with inventing the modern conception of huddles, game plans, and play calls. For more than
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Brad Beatson
Brad Beatson The Wild West

Offensive Line Continuity

To be effective against modern defenses, offensive lines need to move like synchronized swimmers in lockstep with one another, knowing how their arms and legs will move in any situation without having to think. That takes time.

Offensive Line Continuity
Buffalo Bills starting OL (from left): Dion Dawkins, David Edwards, Connor McGovern, O'Cyrus Torrence, Spencer Brown

Four of five starters along the Buffalo Bills offensive line have played more than 2,000 snaps together the past two regular seasons. Bookend franchise tackles Dion Dawkins and Spencer Brown are north of 3,000 snaps.

Left guard David Edwards joined the team in 2023 and played 148 snaps (12.7%) before playing 977 snaps (89.8%) in 2024, when Connor McGovern (97.6% in 2023 and 88.3% in 2024) moved to center to replace longtime great Mitch Morse. Right guard O'Cyrus Torrence played 100% of snaps during his rookie year and 93.1% last season.

That type

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Brad Beatson
Brad Beatson The Wild West

NFL Coaching Continuity

Coaching might be the single biggest competitive advantage NFL teams can exploit during the salary-cap era.

NFL Coaching Continuity
Six members of the Chiefs coaching staff who have been with the team since 2013 (L-R): Andy Heck, Mike Frazier, Rick Burkholder, Andy Reid, Tom Melvin, and Dave Toub.

Here's where I'm at in building out an extensive coaching tree for all the sickos.

It's still in the sapling stage but the goal is to grow an evergreen so big and tall that Rockefeller Center comes calling around Christmas Future.

I went to each NFL team's website, toggled to their coaching page, and went to work compiling a timeline of the coaches' previous stops over the past three seasons.

I quickly learned that I would need to establish a few guardrails if I was going to come up with any sort of viable formula to assess coaching continuity at

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Brad Beatson
Brad Beatson The Wild West

2025 NFL Draft 3-Round Mock

This 3-round mock combines mountains of research with sourced insider reports to provide the latest intel ahead of the NFL Draft.

2025 NFL Draft 3-Round Mock

The following mock draft combines research from various sources, including Sports Info Solutions, PFF, NBC Sports, several Bleacher Report team affiliates, the Athletic's tremendous stable of beat reporters, Alex Katson's equally tremendous, NFL-sourced Pro Day spreadsheet, many NFL podcasts, Spotrac, Dane Brugler's prospect guide ("The Beast"), and mock drafts from ESPN's Matt Miller and NFL Network's Daniel Jeremiah.

All of the information gathered is current through Top 30 visits. Teams now have a good sense of when players will be targeted throughout the draft and are prepared for runs on certain positions, which could motivate them to trade.

At the

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Brad Beatson
Brad Beatson The Wild West

Finding the Next Sun God

The next PPR menace heads to South Beach.

Mike McDaniel thinks impatience is a virtue. Sometimes, that means skipping a night's sleep and calling an 8 a.m. meeting that leads to your team trading for the fastest player in the NFL.

Miami's front office had planned to sign some hogmollies to protect Tua Tagovailoa, back in 2022, but McDaniel argued they should instead spend their resources on speed.

The first-year head coach had compiled a 700-play highlight reel to share with his quarterback and discovered Tagovailoa "could sense an opening before it happened." He was more accurate and got rid of the ball faster than most "star

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End of Football

Devin Funchess was referenced in a song once.

Man, Free: A Football Newsletter

FTN Almanac and NBC Sports writer-editor Rivers McCown sometimes writes about his troubles (being a Houston Texans fan).

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NBC Sports writer and on-air talent Denny Carter cuts through bad faith in the discourse with clear-eyed, incisive posts and enough jokes to lighten the mood while keeping us informed.

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