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Posts tagged with Longreads

Patrick Mahomes Reloaded

What will the 2024 Kansas City Chiefs' offense look like in a post–Travis Kelce world?

Kansas City will play San Francisco in the Super Bowl for the second time in four seasons. Patrick Mahomes has made the AFC Championship game in each of his six seasons as Chiefs starting quarterback. This will be their fourth Super Bowl and his second chance at going back-to-back.

He's Tom Brady and LeBron James rolled into one. As a Bills fan, watching him dice up the league while Josh Allen careens down the Philip Rivers trajectory isn't exactly what I would describe as a fun time.

But that's real life and I'm here to talk about fantasy football. Specifically,

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The Next WR1 — (Part 4)

I've been deep in the sheets looking for wide receivers who will rise over the next seven weeks to help us win fantasy championships.

It has not been as simple as tracking the wide receivers who have met the 12 target threshold, which I outlined in Parts 1, 2, and 3.

The Next WR1 — (Part 1)
How a dozen targets became the threshold for elite WR seasons
The Next WR1 — (Part 2)
21 wide receivers have seen at least 12 targets in a game through the first four weeks of the season.
The Next WR1 — (Part 4) Read more

The Next WR1 — (Part 3)

Predicting this season’s Top 25 PPR WRs

23 wide receivers met the 12-target mark in the first six weeks of the season:

  • Tyreek Hill
  • Stefon Diggs
  • Adam Thielen
  • Keenan Allen
  • Ja'Marr Chase
  • Puka Nacua
  • A.J. Brown
  • Justin Jefferson
  • Davante Adams
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown
  • CeeDee Lamb
  • Michael Pittman Jr.
  • Jakobi Meyers
  • Christian Kirk
  • Garrett Wilson
  • Drake London
  • Deebo Samuel
  • DeAndre Hopkins
  • Romeo Doubs
  • Josh Downs
  • Mike Williams
  • Cooper Kupp
  • Tee Higgins

Cooper Kupp joined the party in Week 5. Drake London, despite Arthur Smith's best efforts, met the mark in Week 6.

The Next WR1 — (Part 1)
How a dozen targets became the threshold for elite WR
The Next WR1 — (Part 3) Read more

The Next WR1 — (Part 2)

21 wideouts have seen 12+ targets in a game through the first four weeks.

21 wide receivers have seen at least 12 targets in a game through the first four weeks of the season.

15 currently rank in the Top 25 of PPR scoring with 9 in the Top 12.

But before I get to these absolute beasts, I want to talk about the rising tandem who have yet to meet the dozen-target mark.

Nico Collins and Tank Dell might end up being this year's outliers.

Through four weeks, both rank inside the Top 25 PPR WRs thanks to outstanding play from rookie QB C.J. Stroud (mea culpa coming soon).

Nico is the

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The Next WR1 — (Part 1)

How a dozen targets became the threshold for elite WR seasons

The magic number appears to be 12 targets.

Since 2018, the overwhelming majority of Top 25 PPR WR scorers have seen 12 or more targets in at least one game:

  • 2018: 24/25 met the mark — Tyler Lockett (WR18) did not
  • 2019: 23/25 met the mark — Courtland Sutton (WR18), Stefon Diggs (WR20) did not
  • 2020: 21/25 met the mark — A.J. Brown (WR17), CeeDee Lamb (WR20), Tee Higgins (WR23), Curtis Samuel (WR25) did not
  • 2021: 24/25 met the mark — Terry McLaurin (WR21) did not
  • 2022: 24/25 met the mark — DJ Moore (WR23) did
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We Should Be Starting 1 RB, 3 WR

1999 was the last time NFL fans knew peace. Week 1 saw the Jeff Fisher- and Air McNair-led Titans nearly choke away their home opener against the Jeff Blake Bengals. After a rocky start, the Buffalo Bills went on to win seven of their next nine while Flutie Flakes flew off the shelves. On Thanksgiving, the Dallas Cowboys hosted the Miami Dolphins when Deion Sanders hauled in two of Dan Marino’s five interceptions. A few weeks later, Deuce Bigalow: Male Gigolo premiered in theaters.

Y2K fears dominated the country during the final month of the 20th century. My parents

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